Will it all blow over in time with a return to the status quo of the last 30 years? Tiananmen Square comes to mind.
Or, will this movement grow and ultimately bring about significant change? Perhaps even an overthrow of the government? Could it be a turning point in Middle East history?
If the movement is self-stustaining will the government yield or will there be a violent & bloody clampdown? Is civil war possible?
How much has the establishment of a democracy in Iraq influenced events in Iran? Is the longterm-change in the Middle East envisioned by President Bush coming to fruition earlier than anyone could have hoped?
Is President Obama doing the right thing by staying out of the fray? Or, should he come out strong in support of the protestors?
Your thoughts on all this?
Voice of America has an interesting analysis of the situation (Thanks to Steve for bringing this to my attention!):
The political upheaval in Iran has caught many observers by surprise. But analysts say the sharp reaction in the streets has overshadowed deep internal divides among different factions in Iran. The turmoil has boosted the stature of some of Iran's leaders. It has also diminished the stature of others - particularly the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
The video clips coming out of Iran of demonstrations and beatings by police are compelling. But analysts say there is another struggle, perhaps a more significant one, taking place in the corridors of power in Tehran, and its roots go back to the 2005 presidential election.... Full Story